Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCacahuatique to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceCacahuatique or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco preview and prediction
The match
Fuerte San Francisco travel to face Cacahuatique in the Primera Division on Sunday 9 August (22:00 WAT). Cacahuatique are 9th with 20 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Fuerte San Francisco sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cacahuatique's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Águila 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Fuerte San Francisco's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Inter 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Cacahuatique and 1.0 for Fuerte San Francisco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cacahuatique 62%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 12%.
Safer route: Cacahuatique or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.30, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cacahuatique 2–1 Fuerte San Francisco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cacahuatique62%fair 1.60 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
Fuerte San Francisco12%fair 8.49 · @4.00
3.37Expected goals
2.33Cacahuatique xG
1.04Fuerte San Francisco xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cacahuatique 2.3 – 1.0 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cacahuatique to win✗
62%
1.60
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Cacahuatique or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.22
Half-time result
Cacahuatique ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cacahuatique / FT Cacahuatique✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Cacahuatique – last 6
DWLDWL
2 Aug
vs Águila
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs Atletico Balboa
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Isidro Metapán
2–4
L
7 May
vs FAS
1–1
D
1 May
@ Municipal Limeño
3–2
W
20 Apr
@ FAS
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco – last 6
DLDLWW
1 Aug
vs Inter
2–2
D
30 Jul
@ Firpo
0–4
L
26 Jul
vs Platense
1–1
D
1 May
vs Alianza
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Isidro Metapán
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Platense
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacahuatique and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Cacahuatique have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fuerte San Francisco 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Cacahuatique 2–1 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
