Value bet: Firpo to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✓64% · @1.77
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Firpo vs Municipal Limeño preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Firpo take on Municipal Limeño on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Firpo are 1st with 40 points from 20 games (top of the table), while Municipal Limeño sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Firpo's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Plaza Amador 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Municipal Limeño's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Platense 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Municipal Limeño 2–1 Firpo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Firpo and 0.8 for Municipal Limeño. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Firpo 64%, draw 23%, Municipal Limeño 13%.
Safer route: Firpo or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Firpo to win at 1.77 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Firpo 2–0 Municipal Limeño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Firpo64%fair 1.57 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
Municipal Limeño13%fair 7.57 · @3.90
2.70Expected goals
1.93Firpo xG
0.77Municipal Limeño xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.9 – 0.8 Municipal Limeño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Firpo vs Municipal Limeño?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Firpo vs Municipal Limeño?
On our numbers Firpo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Municipal Limeño 13%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Municipal Limeño?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Municipal Limeño?
Our predicted score is Firpo 2–0 Municipal Limeño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Municipal Limeño?
Firpo vs Municipal Limeño (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
