The Premyer Liqa sees Zira take on Safa Baku on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Zira Stadium. Zira are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Safa Baku sit 11th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zira's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Paide 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Safa Baku's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Zaqatala 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Zira and 0.8 for Safa Baku. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zira 64%, draw 23%, Safa Baku 13%.
Safer route: Zira or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Zira 2–0 Safa Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zira64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.85
Safa Baku13%fair 7.91 · @4.50
2.77Expected goals
1.99Zira xG
0.79Safa Baku xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Zira 2.0 – 0.8 Safa Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✓
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Zira ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.06
–
Form
Zira – last 6
DLWWLW
30 Jul
vs Paide
1–1
D
23 Jul
@ Paide
0–1
L
16 Jul
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
3–0
W
8 Jul
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
3–0
W
23 May
@ Araz
2–3
L
17 May
vs Sumqayıt
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Safa Baku – last 6
LDDWDW
22 May
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
6 May
@ Difai Ağsu
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Şimal
0–0
D
22 Apr
vs MOIK
3–0
W
16 Apr
@ Baku Sportinq
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Səbail
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Safa Baku.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Zira vs Safa Baku?
On our numbers Zira have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Safa Baku 13%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Safa Baku?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Safa Baku?
Our predicted score is Zira 2–0 Safa Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Safa Baku?
Zira vs Safa Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
