Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaterford to win ✓65% · @1.48
Double chanceWaterford or draw ✓85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Waterford vs Athlone Town preview and prediction
The match
The FAI Cup sees Waterford take on Athlone Town on Friday 14 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Regional Sports Centre.
Form guide
Waterford's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Bohemians 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Athlone Town's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Longford Town 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Waterford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Waterford and 1.0 for Athlone Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Waterford 65%, draw 20%, Athlone Town 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Waterford to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Waterford 2–0 Athlone Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford65%fair 1.54 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.20
Athlone Town15%fair 6.63 · @5.40
3.14Expected goals
2.18Waterford xG
0.96Athlone Town xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Waterford 2.2 – 1.0 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waterford to win✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Double chance
Waterford or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Half-time result
Waterford ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waterford / FT Waterford✗
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Waterford – last 6
WWDWDW
9 Aug
vs Bohemians
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Shelbourne
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Galway United
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Cobh Ramblers
2–1
W
10 Jul
vs St Patrick's Athl.
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Derry City
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Athlone Town – last 6
WLDLWW
7 Aug
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
3 Aug
@ Cork City
2–3
L
31 Jul
vs UCD
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Treaty United
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Midleton
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Cobh Ramblers
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and Athlone Town.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Waterford to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Waterford vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Waterford have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Athlone Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Waterford 2–0 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Athlone Town?
Waterford vs Athlone Town (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Galway United1
Bray Wanderers1
UCD1
Derry City2