Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.24
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
The FAI Cup sees St Patrick's Athl. take on Shamrock Rovers on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Richmond Park.
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Shelbourne 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patrick's Athl.. Across their last 3 meetings St Patrick's Athl. have won 0, Shamrock Rovers 3, with 0 draws and 1.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.9 for St Patrick's Athl. and 2.1 for Shamrock Rovers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 70%.
Value angle: Shamrock Rovers to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.36%fair 2.81 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Shamrock Rovers41%fair 2.47 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
1.94St Patrick's Athl. xG
2.06Shamrock Rovers xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 – 2.1 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shamrock Rovers 41%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–2 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers (FAI Cup) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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