Bohemians host Longford Town in the FAI Cup on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Dalymount Park.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to FC Midtjylland 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Longford Town's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Athlone Town 1–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Longford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 8.0 goals: 5.3 for Bohemians and 2.7 for Longford Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bohemians 75%, draw 16%, Longford Town 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bohemians 7–2 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bohemians75%fair 1.34 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.41 · @5.50
Longford Town10%fair 10.31 · @12.00
8.00Expected goals
5.33Bohemians xG
2.67Longford Town xG
69%Both score
99%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
7–27%
7–36%
7–15%
5–24%
7–44%
4–24%
From our goals model: Bohemians 5.3 – 2.7 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bohemians to win✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Double chance
Bohemians or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Bohemians ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bohemians / FT Bohemians✓
57%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 7–2✗
7%
14.09
–
Form
Bohemians – last 6
LLLDLW
13 Aug
@ FC Midtjylland
2–3
L
9 Aug
@ Waterford
1–3
L
6 Aug
vs FC Midtjylland
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Galway United
1–1
D
30 Jul
@ Ballkani
2–3
L
22 Jul
vs Ballkani
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 6
LWWLWW
7 Aug
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
3 Aug
vs Finn Harps
5–0
W
31 Jul
@ Treaty United
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Wexford
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Baldoyle United
8–0
W
10 Jul
@ Cork City
4–3
W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bohemians and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Bohemians vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Longford Town 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Longford Town?
We expect about 8.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 7–2 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 8.0 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Longford Town?
Bohemians vs Longford Town (FAI Cup) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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