Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSligo Rovers to win ✓68% · @1.55
Double chanceSligo Rovers or draw ✓90% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Sligo Rovers vs Kerry preview and prediction
The match
The FAI Cup sees Sligo Rovers take on Kerry on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Showgrounds.
Form guide
Sligo Rovers's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Derry City 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Kerry's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Cork City 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Kerry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Sligo Rovers and 1.2 for Kerry. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sligo Rovers to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sligo Rovers 2–1 Kerry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sligo Rovers68%fair 1.48 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.10
Kerry10%fair 9.92 · @5.00
4.00Expected goals
2.81Sligo Rovers xG
1.19Kerry xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 2.8 – 1.2 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sligo Rovers to win✓
68%
1.48
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Sligo Rovers or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Sligo Rovers ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sligo Rovers / FT Sligo Rovers✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
Sligo Rovers – last 6
LDDWLL
7 Aug
@ Derry City
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Drogheda United
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Janesboro
4–0
W
14 Jul
vs Coleraine FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Galway United
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 6
LWWWDD
7 Aug
@ Cork City
1–3
L
3 Aug
vs Cobh Ramblers
3–0
W
31 Jul
@ Bray Wanderers
4–0
W
24 Jul
vs Finn Harps
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Shelbourne
2–2
D
10 Jul
@ Wexford
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sligo Rovers and Kerry.
Our pick is Sligo Rovers to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kerry 10%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 2–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Kerry?
Sligo Rovers vs Kerry (FAI Cup) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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