Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic preview and prediction
The match
Dundalk host Castlebar Celtic in the FAI Cup on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Oriel Park.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Dundalk and 0.6 for Castlebar Celtic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance. Predicted score: Dundalk 2–0 Castlebar Celtic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk74%fair 1.34 · @1.08
Draw12%fair 8.02 · @11.00
Castlebar Celtic13%fair 7.67 · @14.00
2.67Expected goals
2.06Dundalk xG
0.61Castlebar Celtic xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dundalk 2.1 – 0.6 Castlebar Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundalk to win✓
74%
1.34
1.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Dundalk ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundalk / FT Dundalk✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Dundalk – last 6
LDDWLL
7 Aug
@ Shamrock Rovers
2–3
L
31 Jul
vs Sligo Rovers
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ St Mochta's
3–1
W
10 Jul
vs Drogheda United
1–2
L
3 Jul
@ Shelbourne
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Castlebar Celtic – last 1
W
18 Jul
@ Douglas Hall
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundalk and Castlebar Celtic.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance.
Who will win Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Castlebar Celtic 13%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 2–0 Castlebar Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic?
Dundalk vs Castlebar Celtic (FAI Cup) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
College Corinthians0
Drogheda United3
Sligo Rovers4
Kerry0