Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23 prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Moreirense U23 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Moreirense U23 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMoreirense U23 to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceMoreirense U23 or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23 preview and prediction
The match
Santa Clara U23 travel to face Moreirense U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Tuesday 13 October (13:00 WAT). Moreirense U23 are 7th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Santa Clara U23 sit 18th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Moreirense U23's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Rio Ave U23 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Santa Clara U23's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with União Leiria U23 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Moreirense U23 and 0.6 for Santa Clara U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moreirense U23 63%, draw 24%, Santa Clara U23 13%.
Safer route: Moreirense U23 or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Moreirense U23 to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Moreirense U23 or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moreirense U23 1–0 Santa Clara U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreirense U2363%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Santa Clara U2313%fair 7.50 · @3.50
2.25Expected goals
1.65Moreirense U23 xG
0.60Santa Clara U23 xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Moreirense U23 1.6 – 0.6 Santa Clara U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreirense U23 to win✓
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Moreirense U23 or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreirense U23 / FT Moreirense U23✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Form
Moreirense U23 – last 6
DDDWDL
6 Oct
@ Rio Ave U23
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Estrela U23
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Sporting Braga U23
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Academico Viseu U23
3–1
W
1 Sep
vs Portimonense U23
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Estoril U23
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santa Clara U23 – last 6
DDDWWL
6 Oct
@ União Leiria U23
1–1
D
29 Sep
vs Felgueiras U23
2–2
D
22 Sep
vs Portimonense U23
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Penafiel U23
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Farense U23
1–0
W
3 Jun
vs Gil Vicente U23
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense U23 and Santa Clara U23.
What is the prediction for Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Our pick is Moreirense U23 or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
On our numbers Moreirense U23 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Clara U23 13%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Our predicted score is Moreirense U23 1–0 Santa Clara U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?
Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.