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Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23 prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBenfica U23 to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Win chances

Penafiel U2332%fair 3.17 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Benfica U2348%fair 2.10 · @2.10
2.79Expected goals
1.22Penafiel U23 xG
1.57Benfica U23 xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Penafiel U23 1.2 – 1.6 Benfica U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Benfica U23 shade it despite being away from home – 48% to win, against 32% for Penafiel U23.

Penafiel U23 have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Benfica U23 have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Benfica U23 come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.2 for Penafiel U23, 1.6 for Benfica U23). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.59.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBenfica U23 to win ✗48%2.102.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Benfica U23 / FT Benfica U23 ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%10.35–

Form

Penafiel U23 – last 6

LDLDDD
29 Sep@ Rio Ave U230–1L
19 Sep@ Sporting CP U231–1D
15 Sepvs Santa Clara U230–1L
7 Sep@ Sporting Braga U233–3D
1 Sepvs Leixões U231–1D
18 Augvs Marítimo U232–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Benfica U23 – last 6

WWWLLL
25 Sep@ Marítimo U233–1W
19 Sepvs Torreense U233–0W
14 Sep@ União Leiria U232–1W
9 Sepvs Vizela U230–1L
2 Sepvs Academico Viseu U231–2L
25 Aug@ Sporting CP U231–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Penafiel U23 and Benfica U23.

Liga Revelação U23 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting CP U2311641+822
2Academico Viseu U2311632+521
3Estoril U2311551+520
4Rio Ave U2311542+919
5Famalicão U2311524+117
6Vizela U2310514+116
7Moreirense U2311362+915
8Felgueiras U2310433+415
9Sporting Braga U2311362+115
10Torreense U2310433-115
11Benfica U2311425014
12União Leiria U2311425-314
13Penafiel U2311263012
14Farense U2311335-412
15Gil Vicente U2311326-511
16Leixões U2310244-110
17Portimonense U2311245-810
18Santa Clara U239243-1010
19Estrela U2311236-59
20Marítimo U2311236-69

More Liga Revelação U23 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?

On our numbers Penafiel U23 have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica U23 48%.

How many goals will there be in Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23?

Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.