Newcastle host Strasbourg in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Newcastle's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Strasbourg's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 4.0 conceded.
Newcastle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Newcastle and 1.1 for Strasbourg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Newcastle to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.51, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newcastle 2–1 Strasbourg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle70%fair 1.43 · @1.51
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.40
Strasbourg11%fair 9.27 · @5.50
3.78Expected goals
2.70Newcastle xG
1.07Strasbourg xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle 2.7 – 1.1 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✗
70%
1.43
1.51 ▲
Double chance
Newcastle or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.70
Half-time result
Newcastle ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Newcastle – last 6
LLWLDW
15 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
12 Aug
vs Everton
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Valencia
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Bristol City
1–4
L
25 Jul
@ Gateshead
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Darlington 1883
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Strasbourg – last 6
LLLLLW
8 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
2–5
L
1 Aug
@ Brighton
3–4
L
25 Jul
vs Blackburn
0–2
L
20 Jul
@ Sporting CP
0–7
L
17 May
vs Monaco
5–4
W
1.7Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Strasbourg.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
Our pick is Newcastle to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Strasbourg 11%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 2–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
Newcastle vs Strasbourg (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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