Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceLiverpool or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Liverpool vs Como preview and prediction
The match
Liverpool host Como in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Liverpool's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Monaco 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 6. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Como's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Arsenal 1–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Liverpool and 1.3 for Como. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool 58%, draw 23%, Como 19%.
Safer route: Liverpool or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Liverpool or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Liverpool 2–1 Como. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.95
Como19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
3.68Expected goals
2.35Liverpool xG
1.33Como xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Liverpool 2.3 – 1.3 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Double chance
Liverpool or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Half-time result
Liverpool ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Liverpool – last 6
LLWWDD
9 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
2 Aug
vs Leeds
2–4
L
30 Jul
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Sunderland
4–2
W
24 May
vs Brentford
1–1
D
9 May
vs Chelsea
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
DWWWWW
12 Aug
@ Arsenal
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Famalicao
3–2
W
24 May
@ Cremonese
4–1
W
17 May
vs Parma
1–0
W
10 May
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Genoa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool and Como.
Our pick is Liverpool or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liverpool vs Como?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Como 19%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Como?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Como?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 2–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Como?
Liverpool vs Como (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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