Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 3.35 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtalanta to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Atalanta vs Athletic Club preview and prediction
The match
Atalanta host Athletic Club in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT).
Form guide
Atalanta's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat FC Schalke 04 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Athletic Club's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Marseille 1–3 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Athletic Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Atalanta and 1.7 for Athletic Club. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atalanta 41%, draw 22%, Athletic Club 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Athletic Club to win at 3.35 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atalanta 1–1 Athletic Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atalanta41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Athletic Club37%fair 2.71 · @3.35
3.50Expected goals
1.80Atalanta xG
1.70Athletic Club xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Atalanta 1.8 – 1.7 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.02
–
Form
Atalanta – last 6
WLDLLW
8 Aug
@ FC Schalke 04
3–0
W
2 Aug
@ Feyenoord
1–2
L
22 May
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
17 May
vs Bologna
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Cagliari
2–3
L
6 Apr
@ Lecce
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
LWWDWW
9 Aug
@ Marseille
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Burgos
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Racing Santander
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Eibar
2–2
D
22 Jul
@ Sestao River
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Leioa
11–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atalanta vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Athletic Club?
Atalanta vs Athletic Club (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.