Prachuap vs Chiangrai United prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Prachuap or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Prachuap to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrachuap to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chancePrachuap or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.69
Prachuap vs Chiangrai United preview and prediction
The match
Prachuap host Chiangrai United in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Prachuap Khiri Khan Province Stadium. Prachuap are 4th with 16 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Chiangrai United sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Prachuap's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Pattani 3–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chiangrai United's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Sisaket United 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Chiangrai United 0–1 Prachuap.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Prachuap and 0.3 for Chiangrai United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Prachuap 65%, draw 22%, Chiangrai United 13%.
Safer route: Prachuap or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Prachuap to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Prachuap or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Prachuap 1–0 Chiangrai United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Prachuap65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.25
Chiangrai United13%fair 7.69 · @4.20
1.50Expected goals
1.21Prachuap xG
0.29Chiangrai United xG
42%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
3–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Prachuap 1.2 – 0.3 Chiangrai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Our pick is Prachuap or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
On our numbers Prachuap have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chiangrai United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Our predicted score is Prachuap 1–0 Chiangrai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Prachuap vs Chiangrai United?
Prachuap vs Chiangrai United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Prachuap Khiri Khan Province Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
