Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Bangkok United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBangkok United to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceBangkok United or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United preview and prediction
The match
Lamphun Warrior host Bangkok United in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Lamphun PAO. Lamphun Warrior are 9th with 11 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Bangkok United sit 2nd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lamphun Warrior's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Rasi Salai United 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bangkok United's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat BG Pathum United 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Bangkok United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Lamphun Warrior 1–1 Bangkok United. Across their last 2 meetings Lamphun Warrior have won 0, Bangkok United 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for Lamphun Warrior and 2.1 for Bangkok United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lamphun Warrior 21%, draw 23%, Bangkok United 56%.
Safer route: Bangkok United or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bangkok United or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lamphun Warrior 1–2 Bangkok United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lamphun Warrior21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.10
Bangkok United56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
3.33Expected goals
1.23Lamphun Warrior xG
2.10Bangkok United xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lamphun Warrior 1.2 – 2.1 Bangkok United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?
Our pick is Bangkok United or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?
On our numbers Lamphun Warrior have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bangkok United 56%.
How many goals will there be in Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?
Our predicted score is Lamphun Warrior 1–2 Bangkok United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United?
Lamphun Warrior vs Bangkok United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamphun PAO.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
