Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFigueirense to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.65
Figueirense vs Nação preview and prediction
The match
Figueirense host Nação in the Copa Santa Catarina on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Figueirense's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Barra 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Nação's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Santa Catarina 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Figueirense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Figueirense and 0.8 for Nação. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Figueirense to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Figueirense 1–0 Nação. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Figueirense65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @4.50
Nação19%fair 5.38 · @5.50
2.64Expected goals
1.84Figueirense xG
0.80Nação xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Figueirense 1.8 – 0.8 Nação expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Figueirense to win✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Figueirense ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Figueirense / FT Figueirense✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.65
–
Form
Figueirense – last 6
DWDWDW
5 Sep
vs Barra
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Caxias
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Ferroviária
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nação – last 6
DLWDWL
6 Sep
vs Santa Catarina
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Hercílio Luz
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Blumenau
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Caravaggio
2–2
D
15 Jul
@ Jaraguá
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Fluminense-SC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Figueirense and Nação.
Our pick is Figueirense to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Figueirense vs Nação?
On our numbers Figueirense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nação 19%.
How many goals will there be in Figueirense vs Nação?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Figueirense vs Nação?
Our predicted score is Figueirense 1–0 Nação, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Figueirense vs Nação?
Figueirense vs Nação (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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