Liga 3 · Portugal
Vitória de Sernache
Atlético CP
Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.87 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vitória de Sernache 1.0 – 1.6 Atlético CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atlético CP shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 26% for Vitória de Sernache.
Vitória de Sernache have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Atlético CP have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.0 for Vitória de Sernache, 1.6 for Atlético CP). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.42. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.87 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atlético CP to win ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.96 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.87 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atlético CP / FT Atlético CP ✓ | 30% | 3.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 12% | 8.60 | – |
Form
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ União Santarém | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Brito | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Louletano | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Varzim | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Caldas | 0–2 | L |
Atlético CP – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs União Santarém | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Louletano | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Vizela | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Caldas | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Lagoa | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ CF Os Belenenses | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória de Sernache and Atlético CP.
More Liga 3 predictions
Louletano2
SC Covilha0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
66%@1.36
✓
FT
Varzim2
Fafe0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
71%@1.32
✓
FT
Pacos Ferreira4
Trofense3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.22
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
On our numbers Vitória de Sernache have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlético CP 52%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.