Liga 3 · Portugal

Louletano

LDLLD
2–0
FT

SC Covilha

LDDDL

Louletano vs SC Covilha prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: SC Covilha to win @ 3.42 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultLouletano to win ✓45% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.70

Win chances

Louletano45%fair 2.23 · @1.99
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.05
SC Covilha33%fair 3.05 · @3.42
2.27Expected goals
1.26Louletano xG
1.01SC Covilha xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Louletano 1.3 – 1.0 SC Covilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Louletano hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for SC Covilha.

Louletano have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. SC Covilha have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Louletano, 1.0 for SC Covilha). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.51. For a bigger price, SC Covilha to win at 3.42 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouletano to win ✓45%2.231.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.16
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louletano / FT Louletano ✓24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.70–

Form

Louletano – last 6

LDLLDL
31 Oct@ Mafra1–2L
25 Octvs Atlético CP2–2D
17 Octvs Rio Ave0–1L
10 Oct@ Vitória de Sernache0–1L
20 Sep@ FC Serpa1–1D
12 Sepvs União Santarém1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

SC Covilha – last 6

LDDDLD
1 Novvs Caldas0–1L
25 Oct@ CF Os Belenenses1–1D
10 Octvs Oliveirense0–0D
12 Sep@ Lusitano Évora 19112–2D
5 Sep@ Mafra0–1L
30 Augvs Mortágua0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Louletano and SC Covilha.

More Liga 3 predictions

FT Varzim2 Fafe0 332244 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32 ✓ FT Vitória de Sernache0 Atlético CP1 262252 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✗ FT Pacos Ferreira4 Trofense3 632512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louletano vs SC Covilha?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Louletano vs SC Covilha?

On our numbers Louletano have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Covilha 33%.

How many goals will there be in Louletano vs SC Covilha?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Louletano vs SC Covilha?

Louletano vs SC Covilha (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.