Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMafra to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceMafra or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.52
Mafra vs Louletano preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Mafra take on Louletano on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra. Mafra are 5th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Louletano sit 6th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mafra's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Caldas 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Louletano's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Atlético CP 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Mafra and 0.9 for Louletano. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mafra 62%, draw 25%, Louletano 13%.
Safer route: Mafra or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mafra to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mafra 2–0 Louletano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mafra62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Louletano13%fair 7.72 · @4.60
3.07Expected goals
2.13Mafra xG
0.94Louletano xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mafra 2.1 – 0.9 Louletano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Mafra or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Mafra ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.52
–
Form
Mafra – last 6
DDDDLW
24 Oct
@ Caldas
3–3
D
18 Oct
vs Santa Clara
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs CF Os Belenenses
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tirsense
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Oliveirense
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs SC Covilha
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Louletano – last 6
DLLDLW
25 Oct
vs Atlético CP
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Rio Ave
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ FC Serpa
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs União Santarém
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mafra and Louletano.
Our pick is Mafra to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mafra vs Louletano?
On our numbers Mafra have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Louletano 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs Louletano?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs Louletano?
Our predicted score is Mafra 2–0 Louletano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs Louletano?
Mafra vs Louletano (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.