Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeça to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Leça vs Varzim preview and prediction
The match
Leça host Varzim in the Liga 3 on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube. Leça are 2nd with 14 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Varzim sit 6th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leça's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Pacos Ferreira 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Varzim's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Guimaraes B 2–4 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Leça arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Leça and 1.4 for Varzim. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leça 41%, draw 24%, Varzim 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leça 1–1 Varzim. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leça41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Varzim35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
2.86Expected goals
1.50Leça xG
1.36Varzim xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Leça 1.5 – 1.4 Varzim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leça to win✓
41%
2.43
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leça / FT Leça✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Leça – last 6
LWWWWL
23 Oct
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs AD Marco 09
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Mortágua
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Trofense
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Fafe
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Varzim – last 6
LLLLLW
25 Oct
vs Guimaraes B
2–4
L
11 Oct
@ São João Ver
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Vitória de Sernache
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Vianense
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Paredes
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Trofense
5–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leça and Varzim.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Leça vs Varzim?
On our numbers Leça have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Varzim 35%.
How many goals will there be in Leça vs Varzim?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leça vs Varzim?
Our predicted score is Leça 1–1 Varzim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Leça vs Varzim?
Leça vs Varzim (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
