Malvern Town host Yate Town in the Non League Premier Southern South on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Malvern Town are 20th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Yate Town sit 17th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Malvern Town's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Basingstoke Town 1–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Yate Town's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Berkhamsted 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.1 for Malvern Town and 1.8 for Yate Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malvern Town 45%, draw 21%, Yate Town 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Malvern Town 2–1 Yate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malvern Town45%fair 2.20 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.25
Yate Town34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
3.85Expected goals
2.07Malvern Town xG
1.78Yate Town xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Malvern Town 2.1 – 1.8 Yate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malvern Town to win✓
45%
2.20
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Malvern Town ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malvern Town / FT Malvern Town✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.30
–
Form
Malvern Town – last 6
LLDWLD
10 Oct
@ Basingstoke Town
1–4
L
29 Sep
@ Bath City
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Mickleover Sports
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Gloucester City
5–2
W
12 Sep
@ Chertsey Town
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yate Town – last 6
LDLDDD
10 Oct
vs Berkhamsted
0–3
L
3 Oct
vs Frome Town
3–3
D
29 Sep
@ Wimborne Town
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Sholing
0–0
D
22 Sep
@ Chippenham Town
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Chippenham Town
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malvern Town and Yate Town.
What is the prediction for Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
On our numbers Malvern Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yate Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Our predicted score is Malvern Town 2–1 Yate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Malvern Town vs Yate Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
