Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBath City to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceBath City or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Evesham United vs Bath City preview and prediction
The match
Bath City travel to face Evesham United in the Non League Premier Southern South on Tuesday 13 October (19:45 WAT). Evesham United are 16th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Bath City sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Evesham United's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Uxbridge 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bath City's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Gosport Borough 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bath City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Evesham United and 1.9 for Bath City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Evesham United 16%, draw 25%, Bath City 60%.
Safer route: Bath City or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bath City or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Evesham United 0–1 Bath City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Evesham United16%fair 6.45 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
Bath City60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
2.80Expected goals
0.89Evesham United xG
1.91Bath City xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Evesham United 0.9 – 1.9 Bath City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bath City to win✓
60%
1.68
1.75
Double chance
Bath City or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Bath City ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bath City / FT Bath City✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.62
–
Form
Evesham United – last 6
LLWWLD
10 Oct
@ Uxbridge
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Poole Town
1–3
L
29 Sep
vs Chippenham Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Stratford Town
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Redditch United
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Berkhamsted
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bath City – last 6
LWWWWL
10 Oct
vs Gosport Borough
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Malvern Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Plymouth Parkway
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Taunton Town
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Chippenham Town
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Weymouth
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Evesham United and Bath City.
What is the prediction for Evesham United vs Bath City?
Our pick is Bath City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Evesham United vs Bath City?
On our numbers Evesham United have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bath City 60%.
How many goals will there be in Evesham United vs Bath City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Evesham United vs Bath City?
Our predicted score is Evesham United 0–1 Bath City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Evesham United vs Bath City?
Evesham United vs Bath City (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
