Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Poole Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPoole Town to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chancePoole Town or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Poole Town take on Basingstoke Town on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Poole Town are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Basingstoke Town sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Poole Town's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Sholing 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Basingstoke Town's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Hanwell Town 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Poole Town and 1.0 for Basingstoke Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Poole Town 63%, draw 22%, Basingstoke Town 15%.
Safer route: Poole Town or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Poole Town to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Poole Town 2–1 Basingstoke Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poole Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.40
Basingstoke Town15%fair 6.85 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.23Poole Town xG
1.02Basingstoke Town xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Poole Town 2.2 – 1.0 Basingstoke Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poole Town to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Poole Town or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Poole Town ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poole Town / FT Poole Town✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Poole Town – last 6
LWWDDL
11 Aug
vs Sholing
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Chichester City
2–1
W
14 Jul
vs Eastleigh
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Cardiff City U21
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Gloucester City
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Wimborne Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Basingstoke Town – last 6
LLWWLW
11 Aug
@ Hanwell Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Evesham United
2–4
L
14 Jul
@ Slough Town
4–2
W
6 Apr
vs Sholing
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Plymouth Parkway
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Tiverton Town
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poole Town and Basingstoke Town.
What is the prediction for Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Our pick is Poole Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
On our numbers Poole Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Basingstoke Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Our predicted score is Poole Town 2–1 Basingstoke Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
