Value bet: Hanworth Villa to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBath City to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.70
Bath City vs Hanworth Villa preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Bath City take on Hanworth Villa on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Twerton Park. Bath City are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Hanworth Villa sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bath City's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Plymouth Parkway 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Hanworth Villa's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Gosport Borough 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hanworth Villa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Bath City and 1.1 for Hanworth Villa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bath City 41%, draw 22%, Hanworth Villa 37%.
Value angle: Hanworth Villa to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bath City 1–1 Hanworth Villa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bath City41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Hanworth Villa37%fair 2.71 · @2.90
2.36Expected goals
1.22Bath City xG
1.14Hanworth Villa xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bath City 1.2 – 1.1 Hanworth Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bath City to win✓
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bath City / FT Bath City✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.70
–
Form
Bath City – last 6
DWLDLL
11 Aug
vs Plymouth Parkway
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Sholing
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Farnborough
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Newport County
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Plymouth
0–3
L
14 Jul
vs Cardiff City U21
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hanworth Villa – last 4
WWWD
12 Aug
@ Gosport Borough
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Taunton Town
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Kingstonian
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Binfield
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bath City and Hanworth Villa.
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Hanworth Villa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Bath City vs Hanworth Villa?
On our numbers Bath City have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hanworth Villa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Hanworth Villa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bath City vs Hanworth Villa?
Our predicted score is Bath City 1–1 Hanworth Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bath City vs Hanworth Villa?
Bath City vs Hanworth Villa (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
