Banbury United vs Leighton Town prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Banbury United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Banbury United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBanbury United to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceBanbury United or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Banbury United vs Leighton Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern Central sees Banbury United take on Leighton Town on Tuesday 20 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Banbury United are 19th with 14 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Leighton Town sit 21st on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Banbury United's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Bromsgrove Sporting 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Leighton Town's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Rushall Olympic 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Banbury United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Banbury United and 1.0 for Leighton Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Banbury United 62%, draw 24%, Leighton Town 14%.
Safer route: Banbury United or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Banbury United to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Banbury United or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Banbury United 2–1 Leighton Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Banbury United62%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
Leighton Town14%fair 7.13 · @3.50
3.30Expected goals
2.26Banbury United xG
1.04Leighton Town xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Banbury United 2.3 – 1.0 Leighton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Banbury United to win✓
62%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Banbury United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Banbury United ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Banbury United / FT Banbury United✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Banbury United – last 6
DLWLWD
17 Oct
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Peterborough Sports
2–4
L
10 Oct
vs Stamford
3–2
W
29 Sep
vs Stratford Town
2–3
L
26 Sep
@ Peterborough Sports
3–1
W
22 Sep
@ Worcester City
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leighton Town – last 6
LLLLLL
17 Oct
vs Rushall Olympic
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Stourbridge
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Peterborough Sports
2–4
L
29 Sep
@ Hitchin Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Newmarket
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Halesowen Town
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Banbury United and Leighton Town.
What is the prediction for Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
Our pick is Banbury United or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
On our numbers Banbury United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leighton Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
Our predicted score is Banbury United 2–1 Leighton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Banbury United vs Leighton Town?
Banbury United vs Leighton Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
