Non League Premier Southern Central · EnglandReal Bedford vs Bury Town prediction & analysis
Real Bedford or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Bedford 2.3 – 1.1 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Bedford are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Bury Town.
Real Bedford have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Bury Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.3 for Real Bedford, 1.1 for Bury Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Real Bedford or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.20.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Bedford to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Real Bedford or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time result | Real Bedford ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Bedford / FT Real Bedford ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.33 | – |
Form
Real Bedford – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Stamford | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Bromsgrove Sporting | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Chesham United | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Leiston | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Wingate & Finchley | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Stourbridge | 4–1 | W |
Bury Town – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Stourbridge | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Needham Market | 0–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Alvechurch | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Spalding United | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Spalding United | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | @ Bishop's Stortford | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Bedford and Bury Town.
Non League Premier Southern Central table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 17 | +21 | 38 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 17 | +5 | 35 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 15 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |  Kettering Town | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 5 |  Peterborough Sports | 17 | +7 | 30 |
| 6 |  Needham Market | 16 | +12 | 28 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 17 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 14 | +14 | 26 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 15 | +8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 |  Stourbridge | 15 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 |  Racing Club Warwick | 16 | +1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stratford Town | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Hitchin Town | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |  Leiston | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 |  Banbury United | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 |  Worcester City | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 16 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 |  Bishop's Stortford | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 15 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 16 | -35 | 5 |
More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
Our pick is Real Bedford or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
On our numbers Real Bedford have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bury Town 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
Real Bedford vs Bury Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.