Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLancaster City to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Lancaster City vs Leek Town preview and prediction
The match
Lancaster City host Leek Town in the Non League Premier Northern on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Lancaster City are 14th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Leek Town sit 18th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lancaster City's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Stockton Town 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Leek Town's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Ashton United 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.8 for Lancaster City and 1.5 for Leek Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lancaster City 45%, draw 20%, Leek Town 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Lancaster City 2–1 Leek Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lancaster City45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Leek Town34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
3.24Expected goals
1.75Lancaster City xG
1.49Leek Town xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Lancaster City 1.8 – 1.5 Leek Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lancaster City to win✗
45%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Lancaster City – last 6
WDLWWL
13 Oct
vs Stockton Town
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
7 Oct
@ Avro
3–5
L
3 Oct
vs Ilkeston Town
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leek Town – last 6
DDWWLL
10 Oct
vs Ashton United
2–2
D
6 Oct
vs Rylands
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Worcester City
2–0
W
22 Sep
vs Hyde United
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Redcar Athletic
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lancaster City and Leek Town.
What is the prediction for Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
On our numbers Lancaster City have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leek Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
Our predicted score is Lancaster City 2–1 Leek Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lancaster City vs Leek Town?
Lancaster City vs Leek Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
