Non League Premier Northern · EnglandStockton Town vs AFC Emley prediction & analysis
Stockton Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stockton Town 2.0 – 1.0 AFC Emley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stockton Town are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 18% for AFC Emley.
Stockton Town have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. AFC Emley have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 3.2 conceded. Stockton Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Stockton Town, 1.0 for AFC Emley). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).
Our pick is Stockton Town to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.66.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stockton Town to win ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | Stockton Town or draw ✗ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Half-time result | Stockton Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stockton Town / FT Stockton Town ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.74 | – |
Form
Stockton Town – last 6
| 13 Oct | @ Lancaster City | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs United of Manchester | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Bury | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Hyde United | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Rylands | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bamber Bridge | 5–2 | W |
AFC Emley – last 6
| 13 Oct | @ United of Manchester | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Gainsborough Trinity | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Rylands | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Workington | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Bootle | 0–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Spennymoor Town | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockton Town and AFC Emley.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?
Our pick is Stockton Town to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?
On our numbers Stockton Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Emley 18%.
How many goals will there be in Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Stockton Town vs AFC Emley?
Stockton Town vs AFC Emley (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.