Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Guiseley AFC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Guiseley AFC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceGuiseley AFC or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town preview and prediction
The match
Stockton Town travel to face Guiseley AFC in the Non League Premier Northern on Tuesday 25 August (19:45 WAT). Guiseley AFC are 4th with 33 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Stockton Town sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guiseley AFC's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Curzon Ashton 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Stockton Town's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Alfreton Town 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Guiseley AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Guiseley AFC and 0.9 for Stockton Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guiseley AFC 60%, draw 23%, Stockton Town 17%.
Safer route: Guiseley AFC or draw (83%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Guiseley AFC to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guiseley AFC or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guiseley AFC 1–0 Stockton Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guiseley AFC60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Stockton Town17%fair 5.80 · @3.40
2.80Expected goals
1.89Guiseley AFC xG
0.91Stockton Town xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 1.9 – 0.9 Stockton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✓
60%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Guiseley AFC or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Guiseley AFC ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Guiseley AFC – last 6
WWDWLD
22 Aug
@ Curzon Ashton
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Bury
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Workington
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Whitby Town
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Warrington Town
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Barnsley
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stockton Town – last 6
WLDLLL
22 Aug
vs Alfreton Town
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Gainsborough Trinity
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Leek Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Ashton United
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Ilkeston Town
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Hednesford Town
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Stockton Town.
What is the prediction for Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
Our pick is Guiseley AFC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stockton Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
Our predicted score is Guiseley AFC 1–0 Stockton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town?
Guiseley AFC vs Stockton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
