Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 55% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +98%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓55% · @3.60
Double chanceBury or draw ✓81% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Redcar Athletic vs Bury preview and prediction
The match
Bury travel to face Redcar Athletic in the Non League Premier Northern on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT). Redcar Athletic are 1st with 38 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Bury sit 8th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Redcar Athletic's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Dunston UTS 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bury's last 4: WLWD Most recently they beat Radcliffe 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Redcar Athletic and 1.4 for Bury. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Draw at 3.60 – 55% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bury or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Redcar Athletic 1–1 Bury. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Redcar Athletic19%fair 5.19 · @2.80
Draw55%fair 1.82 · @3.60
Bury26%fair 3.87 · @2.10
2.73Expected goals
1.29Redcar Athletic xG
1.44Bury xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Redcar Athletic 1.3 – 1.4 Bury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
55%
1.82
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Bury or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury / FT Bury✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Redcar Athletic – last 3
WLW
21 Jul
vs Dunston UTS
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Hartlepool
2–4
L
6 Apr
vs Bridlington Town
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bury – last 4
WLWD
1 Aug
vs Radcliffe
3–1
W
28 Jul
@ Accrington ST
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Chorley
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Clitheroe
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Redcar Athletic and Bury.
What is the prediction for Redcar Athletic vs Bury?
Our pick is Bury or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Bury?
On our numbers Redcar Athletic have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Bury 26%.
How many goals will there be in Redcar Athletic vs Bury?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Redcar Athletic vs Bury?
Our predicted score is Redcar Athletic 1–1 Bury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Redcar Athletic vs Bury?
Redcar Athletic vs Bury (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
