Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Welling United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWelling United to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.83
Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Isthmian sees Welling United take on Burgess Hill Town on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Welling United are 2nd with 37 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Burgess Hill Town sit 12th on 22 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Welling United's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Eastbourne Borough 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Burgess Hill Town's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Dulwich Hamlet 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Welling United and 1.0 for Burgess Hill Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Welling United 61%, draw 16%, Burgess Hill Town 23%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Welling United to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Welling United 1–0 Burgess Hill Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Welling United61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @3.70
Burgess Hill Town23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
2.84Expected goals
1.86Welling United xG
0.97Burgess Hill Town xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Welling United 1.9 – 1.0 Burgess Hill Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welling United to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Welling United ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welling United / FT Welling United✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
15.83
–
Form
Welling United – last 6
LWWDLW
10 Oct
@ Eastbourne Borough
0–1
L
6 Oct
@ Maldon & Tiptree
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Whyteleafe
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Chertsey Town
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs Cheshunt
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burgess Hill Town – last 6
WDWWLW
13 Oct
vs Dulwich Hamlet
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Aveley
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Maldon & Tiptree
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Winslow United
6–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hanwell Town
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Jersey Bulls
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welling United and Burgess Hill Town.
What is the prediction for Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our pick is Welling United to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
On our numbers Welling United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Burgess Hill Town 23%.
How many goals will there be in Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our predicted score is Welling United 1–0 Burgess Hill Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
