Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Chatham Town to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChatham Town to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Aveley vs Chatham Town preview and prediction
The match
Aveley host Chatham Town in the Non League Premier Isthmian on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Aveley are 15th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Chatham Town sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aveley's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Burgess Hill Town 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Chatham Town's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Brentwood Town 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chatham Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Aveley and 1.7 for Chatham Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aveley 37%, draw 21%, Chatham Town 42%.
Value angle: Chatham Town to win at 2.70 – 42% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Aveley 1–2 Chatham Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aveley37%fair 2.73 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Chatham Town42%fair 2.38 · @2.70
3.23Expected goals
1.55Aveley xG
1.68Chatham Town xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Aveley 1.5 – 1.7 Chatham Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chatham Town to win✗
42%
2.38
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chatham Town / FT Chatham Town✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Form
Aveley – last 6
DLLWLL
10 Oct
@ Burgess Hill Town
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Cheshunt
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Ware
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Brentwood Town
2–3
L
14 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chatham Town – last 6
WLLWLW
10 Oct
vs Brentwood Town
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Dorking Wanderers
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Berkhamsted
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Slough Town
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Eastbourne Borough
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Lewes
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aveley and Chatham Town.
What is the prediction for Aveley vs Chatham Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aveley vs Chatham Town?
On our numbers Aveley have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chatham Town 42%.
How many goals will there be in Aveley vs Chatham Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aveley vs Chatham Town?
Our predicted score is Aveley 1–2 Chatham Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Aveley vs Chatham Town?
Aveley vs Chatham Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
