Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurgess Hill Town to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Isthmian sees Burgess Hill Town take on Aveley on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Burgess Hill Town are 12th with 22 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Aveley sit 15th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Burgess Hill Town's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Maldon & Tiptree 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Aveley's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Cheshunt 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Burgess Hill Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Burgess Hill Town and 1.5 for Aveley. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgess Hill Town 45%, draw 19%, Aveley 36%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Aveley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgess Hill Town45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.70
Aveley36%fair 2.76 · @2.45
3.24Expected goals
1.72Burgess Hill Town xG
1.52Aveley xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Burgess Hill Town 1.7 – 1.5 Aveley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgess Hill Town to win✗
45%
2.24
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgess Hill Town / FT Burgess Hill Town✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Form
Burgess Hill Town – last 6
WWLWDD
3 Oct
vs Maldon & Tiptree
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Winslow United
6–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hanwell Town
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Jersey Bulls
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Ramsgate
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Jersey Bulls
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aveley – last 6
LLWLLL
6 Oct
@ Cheshunt
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Ware
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Brentwood Town
2–3
L
14 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
3–4
L
12 Sep
vs Leatherhead
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgess Hill Town and Aveley.
What is the prediction for Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
On our numbers Burgess Hill Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aveley 36%.
How many goals will there be in Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
Our predicted score is Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Aveley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
