Non League Premier Isthmian · EnglandDartford vs Wingate & Finchley prediction & analysis
Dartford to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dartford 2.2 – 0.9 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dartford are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 13% for Wingate & Finchley.
Dartford have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Wingate & Finchley have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Dartford, 0.9 for Wingate & Finchley). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Dartford to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dartford to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.60 ▲ |
| Double chance | Dartford or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Half-time result | Dartford ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dartford / FT Dartford ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.56 | – |
Form
Dartford – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Ramsgate | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Tadley Calleva | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Whitehawk | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Leiston | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Hayes & Yeading United | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Enfield Town | 2–0 | W |
Wingate & Finchley – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Bedford Town | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Bedford Town | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Real Bedford | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Hemel Hempstead Town | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Hemel Hempstead Town | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | @ Aveley | 4–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dartford and Wingate & Finchley.
Non League Premier Isthmian table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Welling United | 16 | +18 | 36 |
| 2 |  Enfield Town | 15 | +25 | 34 |
| 3 |  Eastbourne Borough | 15 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 |  Lewes | 16 | +6 | 30 |
| 5 |  Dartford | 16 | +5 | 30 |
| 6 |  Ramsgate | 15 | +14 | 25 |
| 7 |  Carshalton Athletic | 17 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  St Albans City | 13 | +6 | 23 |
| 9 |  Chatham Town | 15 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 |  Wingate & Finchley | 15 | -1 | 22 |
| 11 |  Burgess Hill Town | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Leatherhead | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 13 |  Whyteleafe | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 |  Aveley | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 18 | -14 | 20 |
| 17 |  Cheshunt | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Brentwood Town | 15 | -3 | 16 |
| 19 |  Cray Wanderers | 10 | +8 | 15 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 21 |  Stanway Rovers | 16 | -26 | 8 |
| 22 |  Whitehawk | 16 | -23 | 7 |
More Non League Premier Isthmian predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our pick is Dartford to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?
On our numbers Dartford have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wingate & Finchley 13%.
How many goals will there be in Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?
Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.