Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWingate & Finchley to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town preview and prediction
The match
Wingate & Finchley host Burgess Hill Town in the Non League Premier Isthmian on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT). Wingate & Finchley are 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Burgess Hill Town sit 12th on 22 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Wingate & Finchley's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Lewes 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Burgess Hill Town's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Enfield Town 0–6 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Wingate & Finchley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Wingate & Finchley 1–2 Burgess Hill Town. Across their last 2 meetings Wingate & Finchley have won 0, Burgess Hill Town 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.6 for Burgess Hill Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wingate & Finchley 48%, draw 19%, Burgess Hill Town 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.46. Predicted score: Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Burgess Hill Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wingate & Finchley48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.68
Burgess Hill Town33%fair 3.03 · @2.85
3.47Expected goals
1.92Wingate & Finchley xG
1.55Burgess Hill Town xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 1.9 – 1.6 Burgess Hill Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Burgess Hill Town 33%.
How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Burgess Hill Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
