Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
1
Value bet: Lewes to win @ 2.89 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDartford to win ✓41% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.69
Lewes vs Dartford preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Isthmian sees Lewes take on Dartford on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT). Lewes are 5th with 30 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Dartford sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lewes's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Wingate & Finchley 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dartford's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Aveley 3–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Lewes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Lewes and 1.5 for Dartford. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lewes 38%, draw 21%, Dartford 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Lewes to win at 2.89 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Lewes 1–1 Dartford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lewes38%fair 2.63 · @2.89
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.55
Dartford41%fair 2.47 · @2.02
2.93Expected goals
1.44Lewes xG
1.49Dartford xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lewes 1.4 – 1.5 Dartford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dartford to win✓
41%
2.47
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.41
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dartford / FT Dartford✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.69
–
Form
Lewes – last 6
DDWWWL
31 Oct
vs Wingate & Finchley
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Maldon & Tiptree
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Three Bridges
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Cray Wanderers
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Whitehawk
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Uxbridge
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dartford – last 6
LWLLWL
31 Oct
@ Aveley
3–4
L
24 Oct
vs Three Bridges
3–2
W
20 Oct
@ Brentwood Town
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Whyteleafe
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Wingate & Finchley
2–1
W
6 Oct
vs Ramsgate
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lewes and Dartford.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Lewes vs Dartford?
On our numbers Lewes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dartford 41%.
How many goals will there be in Lewes vs Dartford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lewes vs Dartford?
Our predicted score is Lewes 1–1 Dartford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lewes vs Dartford?
Lewes vs Dartford (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
