Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJarun to win ✓67% · @1.48
Double chanceJarun or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.18
Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin preview and prediction
The match
The Second NL sees Jarun take on Varteks Varaždin on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion NK Jarun. Jarun are 2nd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Varteks Varaždin sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jarun's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Grobničan Čavle 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Varteks Varaždin's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Koprivnica 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Jarun arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Jarun and 0.9 for Varteks Varaždin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 47% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Jarun to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Jarun 2–0 Varteks Varaždin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jarun67%fair 1.50 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.10
Varteks Varaždin12%fair 8.26 · @5.25
3.14Expected goals
2.25Jarun xG
0.90Varteks Varaždin xG
47%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Jarun 2.2 – 0.9 Varteks Varaždin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarun to win✓
67%
1.50
1.48
Double chance
Jarun or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Jarun ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarun / FT Jarun✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.18
–
Form
Jarun – last 6
WDDWDD
26 Sep
vs Grobničan Čavle
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Križevci
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Trnje
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Slavonija Požega
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Zagora
4–4
D
22 Aug
@ Lucko
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Varteks Varaždin – last 6
DDLWLL
3 Oct
vs Koprivnica
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Bjelovar
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Inter Zapresic
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Dugo Selo
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Uskok Klis
1–4
L
29 Aug
@ Grobničan Čavle
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarun and Varteks Varaždin.
What is the prediction for Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin?
Our pick is Jarun to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin?
On our numbers Jarun have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Varteks Varaždin 12%.
How many goals will there be in Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin?
Our predicted score is Jarun 2–0 Varteks Varaždin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin?
Jarun vs Varteks Varaždin (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion NK Jarun.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
