Value bet: Bjelovar to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDugo Selo to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar preview and prediction
The match
Dugo Selo host Bjelovar in the Second NL on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Dugo Selo are 3rd with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Bjelovar sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dugo Selo's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Zagora 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bjelovar's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Inter Zapresic 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Dugo Selo and 1.4 for Bjelovar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dugo Selo 39%, draw 22%, Bjelovar 38%.
Value angle: Bjelovar to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Dugo Selo 2–1 Bjelovar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dugo Selo39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Bjelovar38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.92Expected goals
1.47Dugo Selo xG
1.45Bjelovar xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dugo Selo 1.5 – 1.4 Bjelovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dugo Selo to win✓
39%
2.54
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dugo Selo / FT Dugo Selo✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.83
–
Form
Dugo Selo – last 6
WWWLLW
3 Oct
@ Zagora
4–0
W
26 Sep
vs Inter Zapresic
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Lucko
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Varteks Varaždin
1–2
L
4 Sep
@ Uljanik
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Uskok Klis
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bjelovar – last 6
DDWLWW
3 Oct
@ Inter Zapresic
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Varteks Varaždin
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Uskok Klis
3–2
W
15 Sep
vs Karlovac 1919
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Grobničan Čavle
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Križevci
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dugo Selo and Bjelovar.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar?
On our numbers Dugo Selo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bjelovar 38%.
How many goals will there be in Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar?
Our predicted score is Dugo Selo 2–1 Bjelovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar?
Dugo Selo vs Bjelovar (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
