Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City preview and prediction
The match
Melbourne City travel to AAMI Park in the A League on Saturday 24 October (09:40 WAT) to face Melbourne Victory. Melbourne Victory are 9th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Melbourne City sit 4th on 7 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Melbourne Victory's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Wellington Phoenix 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Melbourne City's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Auckland 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Melbourne Victory arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Melbourne City 1–3 Melbourne Victory.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Melbourne Victory and 1.7 for Melbourne City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melbourne Victory 40%, draw 24%, Melbourne City 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Melbourne Victory 1–1 Melbourne City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne Victory40%fair 2.51 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Melbourne City36%fair 2.74 · @2.62
3.50Expected goals
1.79Melbourne Victory xG
1.71Melbourne City xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory 1.8 – 1.7 Melbourne City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Melbourne City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 1–1 Melbourne City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City (A League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 09:40 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
