Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Macarthur to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle Jets host Macarthur in the A League on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at McDonald Jones Stadium. Newcastle Jets are 10th with 2 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Macarthur sit 7th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newcastle Jets's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Central Coast Mariners 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Macarthur's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Perth Glory 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macarthur arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 April 2026, finished Macarthur 3–2 Newcastle Jets. Across their last 2 meetings Newcastle Jets have won 1, Macarthur 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Newcastle Jets and 1.7 for Macarthur. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Macarthur to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Newcastle Jets 1–1 Macarthur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle Jets41%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Macarthur36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
3.50Expected goals
1.81Newcastle Jets xG
1.69Macarthur xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.8 – 1.7 Macarthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macarthur 36%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–1 Macarthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur (A League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
