Ross County vs Forfar Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Ross County host Forfar Athletic in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Global Energy Stadium.
Form guide
Ross County's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Montrose 5–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 6.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Forfar Athletic's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Elgin City 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ross County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 3.3 for Ross County and 1.3 for Forfar Athletic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ross County 75%, draw 15%, Forfar Athletic 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ross County to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ross County 3–1 Forfar Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ross County75%fair 1.34 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.57 · @5.80
Forfar Athletic10%fair 9.75 · @10.00
4.60Expected goals
3.29Ross County xG
1.31Forfar Athletic xG
65%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–06%
2–05%
3–25%
From our goals model: Ross County 3.3 – 1.3 Forfar Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ross County to win✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Double chance
Ross County or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Ross County ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ross County / FT Ross County✓
54%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.79
–
Form
Ross County – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Oct
@ Montrose
5–0
W
3 Oct
vs Alloa Athletic
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Hearts U21
14–0
W
22 Sep
@ Clachnacuddin
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Cove Rangers
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Queen of the South
8–0
W
6.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Forfar Athletic – last 6
LLWWLW
10 Oct
vs Elgin City
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Dumbarton
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Formartine United
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Dundee United II
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Peterhead
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Annan Athletic
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ross County and Forfar Athletic.
What is the prediction for Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
Our pick is Ross County to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
On our numbers Ross County have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Forfar Athletic 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
Our predicted score is Ross County 3–1 Forfar Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Ross County vs Forfar Athletic?
Ross County vs Forfar Athletic (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Global Energy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Annan Athletic0
Alloa Athletic0
Berwick Rangers1
Queen of the South0
Clydebank4
Dumbarton0
Cove Rangers2
Formartine United1
East Kilbride2
Kelty Hearts1
Elgin City0
Aberdeen U211
Peterhead1
Rangers U210
Spartans1
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1