Value bet: Celtic II to win @ 2.60 – our chance 49% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeltic II to win ✗49% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Dumbarton vs Celtic II preview and prediction
The match
Celtic II travel to Dumbarton Football Stadium in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 25 August (19:45 WAT) to face Dumbarton.
Form guide
Dumbarton's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Kelty Hearts 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Celtic II's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Cumnock Juniors 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.0 per game.
Celtic II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.7 for Dumbarton and 2.1 for Celtic II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dumbarton 32%, draw 19%, Celtic II 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.30.
Value angle: Celtic II to win at 2.60 – 49% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Dumbarton 1–2 Celtic II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dumbarton32%fair 3.08 · @2.20
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.85
Celtic II49%fair 2.06 · @2.60
3.78Expected goals
1.68Dumbarton xG
2.09Celtic II xG
71%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.7 – 2.1 Celtic II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celtic II to win✗
49%
2.06
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Half-time result
Celtic II ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celtic II / FT Celtic II✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
Dumbarton – last 6
LLLWLW
22 Aug
@ Kelty Hearts
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Edinburgh City
0–3
L
11 Aug
vs Airdrie United
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Clyde
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celtic II – last 6
WWWWDW
21 Aug
vs Cumnock Juniors
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Dalbeattie Star
5–1
W
12 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Renfrew
5–3
W
1 Aug
vs Johnstone Burgh
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Clydebank
6–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and Celtic II.
What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs Celtic II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Celtic II?
On our numbers Dumbarton have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celtic II 49%.
How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Celtic II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs Celtic II?
Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–2 Celtic II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Dumbarton vs Celtic II?
Dumbarton vs Celtic II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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