Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Airdrie United to win @ 1.68 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAirdrie United to win ✗65% · @1.68
Double chanceAirdrie United or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion preview and prediction
The match
Airdrie United host Stirling Albion in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 25 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Form guide
Airdrie United's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Ross County 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Stirling Albion's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Stranraer 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for Airdrie United and 1.3 for Stirling Albion. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Airdrie United 65%, draw 22%, Stirling Albion 13%.
Safer route: Airdrie United or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Airdrie United to win at 1.68 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Airdrie United 2–1 Stirling Albion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Airdrie United65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Stirling Albion13%fair 7.57 · @4.20
4.00Expected goals
2.72Airdrie United xG
1.28Stirling Albion xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Airdrie United 2.7 – 1.3 Stirling Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Airdrie United to win✗
65%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Airdrie United or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.48
Half-time result
Airdrie United ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Airdrie United / FT Airdrie United✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Form
Airdrie United – last 6
LLWDDL
22 Aug
vs Ross County
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
11 Aug
@ Dumbarton
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs East Kilbride
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Cove Rangers
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Ross County
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stirling Albion – last 6
DLWLWL
22 Aug
vs Stranraer
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Forfar Athletic
0–3
L
11 Aug
vs Cove Rangers
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Kelty Hearts
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Dumbarton
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Airdrie United and Stirling Albion.
What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion?
On our numbers Airdrie United have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stirling Albion 13%.
How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion?
Our predicted score is Airdrie United 2–1 Stirling Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion?
Airdrie United vs Stirling Albion (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.