Value bet: Annan Athletic to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnnan Athletic to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge Cup sees Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic take on Annan Athletic on Tuesday 11 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at New Dundas Park.
Form guide
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat East Stirlingshire 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Annan Athletic's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Stranraer 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.8 for Annan Athletic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 36%, draw 19%, Annan Athletic 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Annan Athletic to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1–1 Annan Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic36%fair 2.77 · @2.40
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.70
Annan Athletic45%fair 2.24 · @2.40
3.37Expected goals
1.58Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic xG
1.79Annan Athletic xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1.6 – 1.8 Annan Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Annan Athletic to win✗
45%
2.24
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Annan Athletic / FT Annan Athletic✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – last 6
WLWWDW
8 Aug
vs East Stirlingshire
4–1
W
1 Aug
vs Brechin
1–2
L
28 Jul
@ Bo'ness United
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Musselburgh Athletic
3–0
W
4 Jul
@ Edinburgh City
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Stirling University
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Annan Athletic – last 6
WLLLLL
8 Aug
@ Stranraer
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Spartans
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Ashton Town
2–3
L
21 Jul
@ Clyde
1–4
L
18 Jul
@ Airdrie United
0–3
L
14 Jul
vs Dundee
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Annan Athletic.
What is the prediction for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?
On our numbers Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Annan Athletic 45%.
How many goals will there be in Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?
Our predicted score is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1–1 Annan Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Annan Athletic (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Dundas Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.