Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer preview and prediction
The match
Alloa Athletic host Stranraer in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 11 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Recreation Park.
Form guide
Alloa Athletic's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Hamilton Academical 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Stranraer's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Annan Athletic 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Alloa Athletic 2–2 Stranraer.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Alloa Athletic and 1.0 for Stranraer. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alloa Athletic 1–1 Stranraer. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alloa Athletic57%fair 1.75 · @1.77
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Stranraer23%fair 4.31 · @3.85
2.87Expected goals
1.82Alloa Athletic xG
1.05Stranraer xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.8 – 1.0 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stranraer 23%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer?
Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.