Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAOK to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chancePAOK or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees PAOK take on Aris Thessalonikis on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Toumba Stadium. PAOK are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PAOK's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Panathinaikos 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aris Thessalonikis's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Asteras Tripolis 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for PAOK and 1.3 for Aris Thessalonikis. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was PAOK to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: PAOK 2–1 Aris Thessalonikis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAOK65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.00
Aris Thessalonikis17%fair 5.94 · @5.50
4.00Expected goals
2.66PAOK xG
1.34Aris Thessalonikis xG
57%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: PAOK 2.7 – 1.3 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
PAOK or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
PAOK – last 6
LDWLWD
6 Sep
@ Panathinaikos
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs OFI
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Atromitos
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Brann
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Levadiakos
4–0
W
20 Aug
vs Brann
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aris Thessalonikis – last 6
DLWWWL
10 Sep
@ Asteras Tripolis
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ AEK Athens FC
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs OFI
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Kalamata
3–2
W
17 Aug
@ Anagennisi Karditsas
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Napoli
2–6
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Aris Thessalonikis.
What is the prediction for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our pick is PAOK to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On our numbers PAOK have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aris Thessalonikis 17%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our predicted score is PAOK 2–1 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
