Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC preview and prediction
The match
Asteras Tripolis host AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Asteras Tripolis are 11th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while AEK Athens FC sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Asteras Tripolis's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Aris Thessalonikis 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
AEK Athens FC's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Lask Linz 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AEK Athens FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Asteras Tripolis and 2.2 for AEK Athens FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was AEK Athens FC to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis 0–2 AEK Athens FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asteras Tripolis11%fair 9.46 · @8.00
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.40
AEK Athens FC69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
3.00Expected goals
0.78Asteras Tripolis xG
2.22AEK Athens FC xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 0.8 – 2.2 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
AEK Athens FC or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
AEK Athens FC ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
DLLLLD
10 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Iraklis 1908
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Panetolikos
1–3
L
18 Aug
@ Levadiakos
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ ADO Den Haag
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AEK Athens FC – last 6
WWWDWW
8 Sep
vs Lask Linz
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
5–0
W
2 Sep
@ Nestos Chrisoupolis
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kifisia
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Levski Sofia
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens FC.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our pick is AEK Athens FC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AEK Athens FC 69%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 0–2 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
