Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: PAOK to win @ 3.00 – our chance 44% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAOK to win ✗44% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Panathinaikos vs PAOK preview and prediction
The match
PAOK travel to Olympic Stadium of Athens in the Super League 1 on Sunday 6 September (19:30 WAT) to face Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos are 1st with 27 points from 10 games (top of the table), while PAOK sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Panathinaikos's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Niki Volos 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
PAOK's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with OFI 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Panathinaikos 2–2 PAOK. Across their last 2 meetings Panathinaikos have won 0, PAOK 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Panathinaikos and 1.6 for PAOK. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: PAOK to win at 3.00 – 44% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Panathinaikos 1–1 PAOK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panathinaikos33%fair 2.99 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
PAOK44%fair 2.25 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.37Panathinaikos xG
1.63PAOK xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 1.4 – 1.6 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and PAOK 44%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 1–1 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Panathinaikos vs PAOK (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Stadium of Athens.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
