Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atromitos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtromitos to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceAtromitos or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Atromitos vs Kalamata preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees Atromitos take on Kalamata on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Peristeri Stadium. Atromitos are 12th with 6 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Kalamata sit 8th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atromitos's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Panserraikos 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kalamata's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Volos NFC 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Atromitos and 0.9 for Kalamata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Atromitos to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atromitos or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atromitos 1–0 Kalamata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atromitos59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Kalamata18%fair 5.70 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.84Atromitos xG
0.91Kalamata xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Atromitos 1.8 – 0.9 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atromitos to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Atromitos or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Atromitos ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atromitos / FT Atromitos✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Atromitos – last 6
WLLWWW
2 Sep
@ Panserraikos
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs PAOK
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Pyrgos 1968
3–1
W
21 May
vs Panserraikos
6–0
W
12 May
@ Kifisia
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kalamata – last 6
DLLWWW
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–3
L
19 Aug
vs Panetolikos
4–2
W
10 Aug
@ Volos NFC
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atromitos and Kalamata.
Our pick is Atromitos or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atromitos vs Kalamata?
On our numbers Atromitos have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kalamata 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atromitos vs Kalamata?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atromitos vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is Atromitos 1–0 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atromitos vs Kalamata?
Atromitos vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Peristeri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
