Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Olancho to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlancho to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.16
Estrella Roja vs Olancho preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Estrella Roja take on Olancho on Monday 3 August, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Marcelo Tinoco.
Form guide
Olancho's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to CD Motagua 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Estrella Roja and 1.7 for Olancho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estrella Roja 20%, draw 20%, Olancho 60%.
Safer route: Olancho or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Olancho to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Olancho or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Estrella Roja 0–1 Olancho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrella Roja20%fair 5.11 · @3.55
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.30
Olancho60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
2.49Expected goals
0.81Estrella Roja xG
1.68Olancho xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Estrella Roja 0.8 – 1.7 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✓
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.16
–
Form
Estrella Roja
No recent results on record.
Olancho – last 6
LWLDDW
13 May
vs CD Motagua
0–2
L
10 May
@ CD Motagua
2–1
W
7 May
vs Génesis
1–3
L
1 May
vs Génesis
2–2
D
24 Apr
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
20 Apr
vs Victoria
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Roja and Olancho.
What is the prediction for Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
Our pick is Olancho or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
On our numbers Estrella Roja have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Olancho 60%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is Estrella Roja 0–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estrella Roja vs Olancho?
Estrella Roja vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Tinoco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
